Everyone is talking about the American Jewish Committee’s new survey of Jewish voters in Florida — the first actual data from this election cycle on the quadrennial question of how this much-discussed demographic will actually cast its ballots.
Regrettably, AJC released the results from its survey yesterday without specifying the poll’s margin of error. After queries from JTA yesterday, AJC this morning informed us that the margin of error is plus or minus 6 percent. (The sample size of the survey, carried out by QEV Analytics, was 254 registered Jewish voters — information that was disclosed initially.)
The survey is certainly useful in giving a general sense of the current state of Florida’s Jewish vote, and it sheds valuable light on these voters’ priorities and views on the candidates and the issues. The not negligible margin of error, however, does make partisan attempts to spin the results seem a bit more silly.