There’s a lot of prognosticative nonsense circulating around the web and in the media on what happens next in Gaza – I couldn’t read this Washington Post piece past the front page jump because of two glaringly shaky assumptions in the first grafs (Hamas has ground superiority? Really? After Israel controlled the terrain for 37 years? What, they threw away the maps in 2005? And Hezbollah and Hamas – so not the same in so many ways.)
Some analyses are a little more considered. Martin Kramer has a sober take here – his "what could go wrong" scenario is especially bracing.
